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Thread: Invest 90L / Hurricane Don


  1. #16
    Senior Member John_A's Avatar
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    I was a little worried about posting this. Glad there are a couple more weather nerds here..

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    Forum Regular r0xikat's Avatar
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    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    200 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2011

    FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

    1. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM COULD BE FORMING ABOUT 90 MILES NORTH OF CANCUN MEXICO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA...AND IF IT CONFIRMS THE PRESENCE OF A CIRCULATION...ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED THIS AFTERNOON.
    INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT..OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

    ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
    NEXT 48 HOURS.
    still too early to track exactly where. wasn't it Rita? who changed direction hours before landfall and charged into SE Texas instead :p

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    Modrey auddii's Avatar
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    Nah, lots of nerds (of all types) here. NHC just updated, near 100% chance of becoming a named tropical storm in the next 48 hours. Must be just under the wind speed required for the classification.
    You can't be a real country unless you have a beer and an airline. It helps if you have some kind of a football team, or some nuclear weapons, but at the very least you need a beer. ~Frank Zappa

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    Forum Regular r0xikat's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by John_A View Post
    I was a little worried about posting this. Glad there are a couple more weather nerds here..
    oh we're here... meteorology was my first major until I realized.. well... it's physics :P so I downgraded to geography, where my interests still lie in climatology, after GIS of course.

  6. #20
    Member divenut1's Avatar
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    They are sending out a airforce reserve hurricane hunter aircraft to look for circulation... Forecast has been upped to 100% chance of be becoming a tropical storm in the next 48 hours.

    Look for the hurricane watch net via google. As a amateur radio operator/storm spotter/volunteer firefighter I find it the best ongoing source of info. I get email updates as the nws posts them.
    Army Brat by Birth, Texan by Default

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    Moderator KenJulio's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by John_A View Post
    I was a little worried about posting this. Glad there are a couple more weather nerds here..
    We're not nerds...we're ENTHUSIASTS...plus my body says pay attention as you're gonna be in a world of hurt in the next couple of days.

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    You Can't Be Serious!! venchka's Avatar
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    Cool

    Quote Originally Posted by KenJulio View Post
    We're not nerds...we're ENTHUSIASTS...plus my body says pay attention as you're gonna be in a world of hurt in the next couple of days.
    Huh?

    Chill Y'all. It's too early to tell. I got hit with worse conditions from a thunderstorm last Monday evening @ Hwy 6 & 290. While it didn't last as long as the hurricanes I have sat out, the wind and water were every bit as intense. When the Hurricane Hunters get back we may know something.
    Wayne
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    took an arrow to the knee TheFantasticG's Avatar
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    I can't farking wait cause I'm hearing night landfall on Friday!! Why does that excite me? Lightning pictures!!!!!!!!!!

    I'm going to setup at a parking garage near my house.

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    Account Closed Per User Request Todd Lambert's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheFantasticG View Post
    I can't farking wait cause I'm hearing night landfall on Friday!! Why does that excite me? Lightning pictures!!!!!!!!!!

    I'm going to setup at a parking garage near my house.
    Be careful what you wish for... I was the same way, having never experienced a real hurricane, I kept exclaiming that I wanted a hurricane to show up... well, when it did, it turned out to be Katrina and ever since, I don't really have any aspirations to see another one, quite frankly. Going through Katrina changed my life forever.

    Anyways, just be careful of what you ask for, you never know what you're going to end up getting!

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    You Can't Be Serious!! venchka's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Todd Lambert View Post
    Be careful what you wish for... I was the same way, having never experienced a real hurricane, I kept exclaiming that I wanted a hurricane to show up... well, when it did, it turned out to be Katrina and ever since, I don't really have any aspirations to see another one, quite frankly. Going through Katrina changed my life forever.

    Anyways, just be careful of what you ask for, you never know what you're going to end up getting!
    Amen! After wishing & hoping for rain, last Monday in Houston & at the house, cured me for awhile. Hail damage to my car driving to the apartment after work. A large oak tree fell at home blocking our path to the lake. Neither is serious. Both could have been much worse.

    In the meantime, it's still much too early to tell what may or may not happen.
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    Member divenut1's Avatar
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    Don't forget all the areas to the northeast of the main storm subject to spin up tornadoes....little to no warning since that don't follow the normal mesocyclone/supercell model.

    We got nailed by a few in the Dfw area after the last one came through to the southwest of us...
    Army Brat by Birth, Texan by Default

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    You Can't Be Serious!! kenw's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ka5txl View Post
    26 straight days of 100+ send it to Dallas, we will send the excess water back down the Trinty to you fine folks in houston

    I see a small problem with it not going thru the coast 1st....
    5th Generation Texian.
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  14. #28
    Supa Dupa Poster darktiger's Avatar
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    Hopefully it hits houston... maybe a good photo op and some good soaking rain...

    I would not mind a tornado or two... but that wont happen :(
    Remember: no firmware upgrade will ever fix "lack of talent". ;)

  15. #29
    Premium Member ka5txl's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by kenw View Post
    I see a small problem with it not going thru the coast 1st....
    You can have it first we will just send the surplus water back.
    "People sleep peacefully in their beds at night only because rough men stand ready to visit violence on those who would do them harm." George Orwell

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    Forum Master Fireball's Avatar
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    Well I hope it stirs up enough moisture to move it our way. We are bone dry here with our 31st day of 100-plus temps.

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